Any bettor who wants his profitability to be as high as possible must lead his analysis to someone in absurd detail. One such detail is, for example, that the bettor should know what the weather will be on the match before placing a bet. Yes, even such small things can play an immense role in the final addition. If the first two steps of the analysis lead to a lot of goals scoring in a given football match, but the weather forecast reports rain on the day of the match, the bettor should be alert. Rain often means a lot of lost balls, bad passes and few goals.
Another detail may be the number of viewers who go to support the whole you are planning to bet on. Again, according to the first two steps of the analysis, it turns out that the home unit is at the same level as the opponent, but the advantage of the home environment shifts the scales to its side. However, if there are a minimum of fans at home matches and there is an intimate atmosphere during the match, the advantage of a home court may be neutralized and have no effect at all on the end result.
And what about traveling?
Do you know if your bet is traveling on outdoor matches in a comfortable plane, or is a regular and unpleasant long journey by bus? And when did the team arrive at the venue? In time to acclimatize or is there little time left for pre-match training?
All these seemingly insignificant details should be handled by a conscientious bettor in every match he is going to bet on. Perhaps it is precisely in the search for such small details that there is an imaginary line between a bettor who bet only for fun and a tipster who is really serious about betting.
The last part of the analysis should be the analysis of the course. We only bet on courses that hold value. But how do we find such a value? If we conclude from the previous steps of the analysis that the odds for a whole would be 3.8, but bookmakers offer odds of 4.2, then we have just found an example of a value bet. This value, however, we do not only find in matches where the odds are so high, they may be found at odds around 1.2.
The probability of the result can be estimated by mathematical formulas, various indices or the amount of information about the match. Depending on the result, we can then list our odds for the opportunity and compare them with the odds offered by the bookmakers. If there is a higher odds somewhere than the ones we have announced, then this is a value bet.
The key to long-term profitability is just such a bet tip, ie with value.In the analyzes made up by our experienced team, we have often encountered quality matches, but the odds on which they were listed lacked value, so it was better not to bet them. Maybe someone asks why we are not taking this step first in order to save time if the bet is worthless? The answer is very simple, without the first steps of the analysis we could hardly guess what the value of a properly quoted exchange rate should be. In order to list our own odds, which we then compare with the odds of the bookmakers, we need the information we get from the previous steps.